Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 12.635621 14.180731 15.855211 17.807062 20.022723 22.463099 25.359303
2025-04-06 10.022742 12.001545 14.300965 17.179083 20.697406 24.873777 30.229857
2025-04-13 8.211635 10.409081 13.124841 16.747346 21.481959 27.499579 35.790521
2025-04-20 7.115673 9.506725 12.635573 17.065531 23.233933 31.603299 43.962672
2025-04-27 6.271722 8.795516 12.277694 17.490820 25.197008 36.325100 53.895407
2025-05-04 5.507481 8.073900 11.791378 17.652102 26.813598 40.844158 64.456653
2025-05-11 4.748857 7.245552 11.024750 17.270569 27.549039 44.172262 73.871695
2025-05-18 4.144057 6.560756 10.371402 16.953294 28.322410 47.686863 84.325864
2025-05-25 3.652496 5.984239 9.803518 16.679083 29.111532 51.357105 95.831383
2025-06-01 3.262803 5.520522 9.353411 16.529502 30.084362 55.514837 109.146207
2025-06-08 2.945275 5.136408 8.984177 16.461619 31.187638 60.104414 124.335026
2025-06-15 2.752328 4.945709 8.928783 16.962409 33.460909 67.386964 146.837918
2025-06-22 2.508112 4.636919 8.628367 16.971283 34.812357 73.180618 167.817140
2025-06-29 2.248123 4.265626 8.160817 16.574506 35.254021 77.139382 185.611803
2025-07-06 2.035866 3.960368 7.782212 16.304087 35.926215 81.761719 206.311498
2025-07-13 1.915761 3.824259 7.727013 16.723257 38.246660 90.745379 240.905726
2025-07-20 1.814169 3.713266 7.708968 17.223353 40.859694 101.031392 282.166273
2025-07-27 1.699291 3.559785 7.579261 17.444972 42.836390 110.142705 322.870033
2025-08-03 1.555082 3.325282 7.240564 17.113908 43.343013 115.449166 353.652736
2025-08-10 1.430122 3.119140 6.940501 16.832860 43.935918 121.149619 387.595266
2025-08-17 1.320429 2.935233 6.669456 16.584832 44.579109 127.163610 424.653727
2025-08-24 1.228840 2.783098 6.455399 16.453799 45.535477 134.363277 468.440345
2025-08-31 1.150296 2.653154 6.279542 16.399232 46.711895 142.550996 518.869824